Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 3 августа?
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 30%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
30%
28°C
33%
29°C
32%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C или выше
2%
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 30%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
24°C
$0 Объем
1%
25°C
$1 Объем
3%
26°C
$0 Объем
10%
27°C
$0 Объем
30%
28°C
$0 Объем
33%
29°C
$20 Объем
32%
30°C
$0 Объем
6%
31°C
$0 Объем
3%
32°C
$0 Объем
3%
33°C или выше
$10 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$31Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this market clusters tightly around 27–29°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show peak surface temperatures in Istanbul on 3 August hovering near the long-term August climatological average of 28–29°C under stable high pressure. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and local sea-breeze timing along the Bosphorus, which can trim or add 1–2°C to maximum readings. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely tighten the distribution before settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы