Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 1 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 1 августа?
35°C 56%
34°C 26%
36°C 13%
33°C 6%
$24,913 Объем
$24,913 Объем
1 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
26%
35°C
56%
36°C
13%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 56%
34°C 26%
36°C 13%
33°C 6%
$24,913 Объем
$24,913 Объем
1 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$509 Объем
<1%
32°C
$1,025 Объем
1%
33°C
$2,424 Объем
6%
34°C
$7,529 Объем
26%
35°C
$4,030 Объем
56%
36°C
$2,953 Объем
13%
37°C
$1,180 Объем
<1%
38°C
$632 Объем
<1%
39°C
$354 Объем
<1%
40°C
$358 Объем
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$24,913Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24,913Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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