Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 2 августа?
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C или выше
2%
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$126 Объем
<1%
24°C
$107 Объем
<1%
25°C
$215 Объем
1%
26°C
$716 Объем
2%
27°C
$363 Объем
3%
28°C
$154 Объем
7%
29°C
$615 Объем
23%
30°C
$761 Объем
46%
31°C
$799 Объем
20%
32°C
$190 Объем
4%
33°C или выше
$168 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,213Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,213Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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