Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 31 июля?
23°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,804 Объем
$69,804 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
23°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,804 Объем
$69,804 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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