Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Moscow high of 26–28°C on August 1, 2026, under southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds that limit mixing and extreme heating. This pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (53.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent rapid pattern shifts. Climatologically, early-August Moscow highs average near 23°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies without heat-wave conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations through the day will refine the exact maximum, with traders monitoring official station readings for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 1 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 1 августа?
27°C 50%
28°C 19%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
$24,807 Объем
$24,807 Объем
1 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
16%
27°C
50%
28°C
19%
29°C
12%
30°C или выше
1%
27°C 50%
28°C 19%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
$24,807 Объем
$24,807 Объем
1 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$469 Объем
<1%
21°C
$854 Объем
<1%
22°C
$383 Объем
<1%
23°C
$728 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,516 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,005 Объем
1%
26°C
$2,748 Объем
16%
27°C
$3,541 Объем
50%
28°C
$3,636 Объем
19%
29°C
$7,419 Объем
12%
30°C или выше
$2,508 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Moscow high of 26–28°C on August 1, 2026, under southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds that limit mixing and extreme heating. This pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (53.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent rapid pattern shifts. Climatologically, early-August Moscow highs average near 23°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies without heat-wave conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations through the day will refine the exact maximum, with traders monitoring official station readings for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$24,807Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Moscow high of 26–28°C on August 1, 2026, under southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds that limit mixing and extreme heating. This pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (53.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent rapid pattern shifts. Climatologically, early-August Moscow highs average near 23°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies without heat-wave conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations through the day will refine the exact maximum, with traders monitoring official station readings for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24,807Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a Moscow high of 26–28°C on August 1, 2026, under southerly advection of warmer air masses and light winds that limit mixing and extreme heating. This pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (53.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent rapid pattern shifts. Climatologically, early-August Moscow highs average near 23°C, so the current setup reflects modest positive anomalies without heat-wave conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations through the day will refine the exact maximum, with traders monitoring official station readings for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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