Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's August 5 high temperature will likely peak near 34°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes. Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs averaging 31–33°C, elevated by urban heat retention and high humidity that sustains warmth overnight. Current conditions show persistent southerly flow without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, supporting model consensus for stable or slightly above-average readings. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 36°C this early in the month, while cooler 32°C scenarios would require unexpected northerly advection not currently projected. Updated ensemble runs and local observational data ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 5 августа?
34°C 39%
33°C 27%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
27%
34°C
39%
35°C
16%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 39%
33°C 27%
35°C 16%
32°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$66 Объем
<1%
29°C
$52 Объем
<1%
30°C
$610 Объем
2%
31°C
$188 Объем
3%
32°C
$58 Объем
10%
33°C
$3,426 Объем
27%
34°C
$483 Объем
39%
35°C
$397 Объем
16%
36°C
$331 Объем
3%
37°C
$67 Объем
1%
38°C or higher
$65 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's August 5 high temperature will likely peak near 34°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes. Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs averaging 31–33°C, elevated by urban heat retention and high humidity that sustains warmth overnight. Current conditions show persistent southerly flow without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, supporting model consensus for stable or slightly above-average readings. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 36°C this early in the month, while cooler 32°C scenarios would require unexpected northerly advection not currently projected. Updated ensemble runs and local observational data ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$5,742Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's August 5 high temperature will likely peak near 34°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes. Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs averaging 31–33°C, elevated by urban heat retention and high humidity that sustains warmth overnight. Current conditions show persistent southerly flow without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, supporting model consensus for stable or slightly above-average readings. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 36°C this early in the month, while cooler 32°C scenarios would require unexpected northerly advection not currently projected. Updated ensemble runs and local observational data ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,742Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's August 5 high temperature will likely peak near 34°C, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–35°C outcomes. Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs averaging 31–33°C, elevated by urban heat retention and high humidity that sustains warmth overnight. Current conditions show persistent southerly flow without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences, supporting model consensus for stable or slightly above-average readings. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 36°C this early in the month, while cooler 32°C scenarios would require unexpected northerly advection not currently projected. Updated ensemble runs and local observational data ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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