Recent strong August employment gains, with payrolls far exceeding expectations and the unemployment rate easing to around 4.1%, have reinforced labor market resilience and lifted near-term hike probabilities ahead of the September 16-17 FOMC meeting. Persistent inflation, with core PCE still above 3%, alongside the Fed's revised dot plot under Chair Kevin Warsh showing a median funds rate projection of 3.8% by year-end, underpins the competitive spread across Polymarket sequences. Traders weigh incoming CPI and PPI data against the central bank's data-dependent stance, where a single hot inflation print could shift consensus toward multiple 25-basis-point hikes while softer readings would favor repeated pauses at the current 3.50-3.75% target range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПауза–Пауза–Пауза 29%
Повышение–Пауза–Пауза 19%
Пауза–Пауза–Повышение 11%
Пауза–повышение–повышение 11%
$10,917 Объем
$10,917 Объем
9 дек. 2026 г.
Повышение–Пауза–Повышение
10%
Повышение–Пауза–Пауза
19%
Повышение — Повышение — Повышение
5%
Повышение–повышение–пауза
6%
Пауза–Пауза–Повышение
11%
Пауза–Пауза–Пауза
29%
Пауза–повышение–повышение
11%
Пауза–повышение–пауза
10%
Другое
5%
Пауза–Пауза–Пауза 29%
Повышение–Пауза–Пауза 19%
Пауза–Пауза–Повышение 11%
Пауза–повышение–повышение 11%
$10,917 Объем
$10,917 Объем
9 дек. 2026 г.
Повышение–Пауза–Повышение
$314 Объем
10%
Повышение–Пауза–Пауза
$296 Объем
19%
Повышение — Повышение — Повышение
$216 Объем
5%
Повышение–повышение–пауза
$237 Объем
6%
Пауза–Пауза–Повышение
$253 Объем
11%
Пауза–Пауза–Пауза
$8,948 Объем
29%
Пауза–повышение–повышение
$237 Объем
11%
Пауза–повышение–пауза
$214 Объем
10%
Другое
$203 Объем
5%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent strong August employment gains, with payrolls far exceeding expectations and the unemployment rate easing to around 4.1%, have reinforced labor market resilience and lifted near-term hike probabilities ahead of the September 16-17 FOMC meeting. Persistent inflation, with core PCE still above 3%, alongside the Fed's revised dot plot under Chair Kevin Warsh showing a median funds rate projection of 3.8% by year-end, underpins the competitive spread across Polymarket sequences. Traders weigh incoming CPI and PPI data against the central bank's data-dependent stance, where a single hot inflation print could shift consensus toward multiple 25-basis-point hikes while softer readings would favor repeated pauses at the current 3.50-3.75% target range.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Объем
$10,917Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent strong August employment gains, with payrolls far exceeding expectations and the unemployment rate easing to around 4.1%, have reinforced labor market resilience and lifted near-term hike probabilities ahead of the September 16-17 FOMC meeting. Persistent inflation, with core PCE still above 3%, alongside the Fed's revised dot plot under Chair Kevin Warsh showing a median funds rate projection of 3.8% by year-end, underpins the competitive spread across Polymarket sequences. Traders weigh incoming CPI and PPI data against the central bank's data-dependent stance, where a single hot inflation print could shift consensus toward multiple 25-basis-point hikes while softer readings would favor repeated pauses at the current 3.50-3.75% target range.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Объем
$10,917Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent strong August employment gains, with payrolls far exceeding expectations and the unemployment rate easing to around 4.1%, have reinforced labor market resilience and lifted near-term hike probabilities ahead of the September 16-17 FOMC meeting. Persistent inflation, with core PCE still above 3%, alongside the Fed's revised dot plot under Chair Kevin Warsh showing a median funds rate projection of 3.8% by year-end, underpins the competitive spread across Polymarket sequences. Traders weigh incoming CPI and PPI data against the central bank's data-dependent stance, where a single hot inflation print could shift consensus toward multiple 25-basis-point hikes while softer readings would favor repeated pauses at the current 3.50-3.75% target range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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