**Recent inflation acceleration and persistent pro-inflationary risks have anchored trader expectations for the Bank of Russia’s 11 September key rate decision.** Annual inflation rose to around 6.3% by end-August, driven partly by earlier fuel price spikes from refinery disruptions, while underlying price growth and lending trends remain elevated. The central bank’s July cut to 14% was modest, and updated forecasts now project a 2026 average key rate of 14.5–14.6% amid higher structural budget deficits and fiscal stimulus. Market participants view these factors as limiting room for further easing, with the current rate path reflecting caution over external and domestic conditions. A hold aligns with the revised medium-term outlook targeting inflation convergence only in 2027, while any cut would require clearer disinflation signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение Банка России в сентябре?
Решение Банка России в сентябре?
Без изменений 64%
Снижение 31%
Увеличение 3.4%
$195,597 Объем
$195,597 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
Снижение
31%
Без изменений
64%
Увеличение
3%
Без изменений 64%
Снижение 31%
Увеличение 3.4%
$195,597 Объем
$195,597 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
Снижение
$46,174 Объем
31%
Без изменений
$64,347 Объем
64%
Увеличение
$85,076 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Recent inflation acceleration and persistent pro-inflationary risks have anchored trader expectations for the Bank of Russia’s 11 September key rate decision.** Annual inflation rose to around 6.3% by end-August, driven partly by earlier fuel price spikes from refinery disruptions, while underlying price growth and lending trends remain elevated. The central bank’s July cut to 14% was modest, and updated forecasts now project a 2026 average key rate of 14.5–14.6% amid higher structural budget deficits and fiscal stimulus. Market participants view these factors as limiting room for further easing, with the current rate path reflecting caution over external and domestic conditions. A hold aligns with the revised medium-term outlook targeting inflation convergence only in 2027, while any cut would require clearer disinflation signals.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Объем
$195,597Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Recent inflation acceleration and persistent pro-inflationary risks have anchored trader expectations for the Bank of Russia’s 11 September key rate decision.** Annual inflation rose to around 6.3% by end-August, driven partly by earlier fuel price spikes from refinery disruptions, while underlying price growth and lending trends remain elevated. The central bank’s July cut to 14% was modest, and updated forecasts now project a 2026 average key rate of 14.5–14.6% amid higher structural budget deficits and fiscal stimulus. Market participants view these factors as limiting room for further easing, with the current rate path reflecting caution over external and domestic conditions. A hold aligns with the revised medium-term outlook targeting inflation convergence only in 2027, while any cut would require clearer disinflation signals.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$195,597Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent inflation acceleration and persistent pro-inflationary risks have anchored trader expectations for the Bank of Russia’s 11 September key rate decision.** Annual inflation rose to around 6.3% by end-August, driven partly by earlier fuel price spikes from refinery disruptions, while underlying price growth and lending trends remain elevated. The central bank’s July cut to 14% was modest, and updated forecasts now project a 2026 average key rate of 14.5–14.6% amid higher structural budget deficits and fiscal stimulus. Market participants view these factors as limiting room for further easing, with the current rate path reflecting caution over external and domestic conditions. A hold aligns with the revised medium-term outlook targeting inflation convergence only in 2027, while any cut would require clearer disinflation signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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