Recent data point to a stabilizing yet softening trajectory for DC metro home values, with Zillow Home Value Index metrics hovering near $580K amid elevated mortgage rates around 6% and rising inventory that has lengthened days on market. Trader consensus clusters tightly across the $518K–$536K bands because seasonal fall slowdowns, higher months of supply, and federal workforce adjustments create offsetting pressures that could tip the median either way by September 30. Key swing factors include any further inventory buildup, pending sales momentum, and late-month economic releases that might alter rate expectations, underscoring the market-implied odds as aggregated real-capital bets on these near-term dynamics rather than certainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет медианная стоимость жилья в районе метро Вашингтона 30 сентября?
$518K - $524K 36.2%
530 000 $ – 536 000 $ 29.0%
$524K - $530K 25.3%
$512К - $518К 10.4%
$54,528 Объем
$54,528 Объем
< $512 000
6%
$512К - $518К
10%
$518K - $524K
36%
$524K - $530K
19%
530 000 $ – 536 000 $
29%
$536К - $542К
4%
$542K+
2%
$518K - $524K 36.2%
530 000 $ – 536 000 $ 29.0%
$524K - $530K 25.3%
$512К - $518К 10.4%
$54,528 Объем
$54,528 Объем
< $512 000
6%
$512К - $518К
10%
$518K - $524K
36%
$524K - $530K
19%
530 000 $ – 536 000 $
29%
$536К - $542К
4%
$542K+
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent data point to a stabilizing yet softening trajectory for DC metro home values, with Zillow Home Value Index metrics hovering near $580K amid elevated mortgage rates around 6% and rising inventory that has lengthened days on market. Trader consensus clusters tightly across the $518K–$536K bands because seasonal fall slowdowns, higher months of supply, and federal workforce adjustments create offsetting pressures that could tip the median either way by September 30. Key swing factors include any further inventory buildup, pending sales momentum, and late-month economic releases that might alter rate expectations, underscoring the market-implied odds as aggregated real-capital bets on these near-term dynamics rather than certainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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