Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, driven by typical summer subtropical high pressure, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects that moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 24°C, with 2026 conditions aligning closely to this baseline amid stable atmospheric patterns and no active frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter overnight lows. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational trends, though shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or revised JMA guidance could still push readings to 25°C or 27°C before final daily resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio a 1 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio a 1 de agosto?
26°C 98%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,195 Vol.
$16,195 Vol.
1 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 98%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,195 Vol.
$16,195 Vol.
1 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$348 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$506 Vol.
1%
25°C
$745 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,373 Vol.
98%
27°C
$10,057 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,181 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, driven by typical summer subtropical high pressure, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects that moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 24°C, with 2026 conditions aligning closely to this baseline amid stable atmospheric patterns and no active frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter overnight lows. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational trends, though shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or revised JMA guidance could still push readings to 25°C or 27°C before final daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,195Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, driven by typical summer subtropical high pressure, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects that moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 24°C, with 2026 conditions aligning closely to this baseline amid stable atmospheric patterns and no active frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter overnight lows. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational trends, though shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or revised JMA guidance could still push readings to 25°C or 27°C before final daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,195Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 1, driven by typical summer subtropical high pressure, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects that moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 24°C, with 2026 conditions aligning closely to this baseline amid stable atmospheric patterns and no active frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter overnight lows. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational trends, though shifts in cloud cover, localized wind patterns, or revised JMA guidance could still push readings to 25°C or 27°C before final daily resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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