Official temperature observations from New York City on July 31, 2026, aligned with National Weather Service data and regional forecasts showing a daily maximum of 84–85°F under typical summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This consensus, reflected in the market's near-certain pricing for that narrow bin, stems from consistent model runs and station readings that ruled out significant deviations. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, though short-term steering patterns and cloud cover kept the peak from climbing higher. Only an uncharacteristic late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could have shifted the outcome, both of which lacked supporting evidence in real-time monitoring.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de julho?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$70,980 Vol.
$70,980 Vol.
31 jul 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$70,980 Vol.
$70,980 Vol.
31 jul 2026
75°F or below
$757 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$906 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,167 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,633 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,691 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$19,048 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$12,355 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$10,251 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,586 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,801 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$3,785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City on July 31, 2026, aligned with National Weather Service data and regional forecasts showing a daily maximum of 84–85°F under typical summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This consensus, reflected in the market's near-certain pricing for that narrow bin, stems from consistent model runs and station readings that ruled out significant deviations. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, though short-term steering patterns and cloud cover kept the peak from climbing higher. Only an uncharacteristic late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could have shifted the outcome, both of which lacked supporting evidence in real-time monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$70,980Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City on July 31, 2026, aligned with National Weather Service data and regional forecasts showing a daily maximum of 84–85°F under typical summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This consensus, reflected in the market's near-certain pricing for that narrow bin, stems from consistent model runs and station readings that ruled out significant deviations. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, though short-term steering patterns and cloud cover kept the peak from climbing higher. Only an uncharacteristic late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could have shifted the outcome, both of which lacked supporting evidence in real-time monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,980Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from New York City on July 31, 2026, aligned with National Weather Service data and regional forecasts showing a daily maximum of 84–85°F under typical summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This consensus, reflected in the market's near-certain pricing for that narrow bin, stems from consistent model runs and station readings that ruled out significant deviations. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, though short-term steering patterns and cloud cover kept the peak from climbing higher. Only an uncharacteristic late-day surge or station-specific anomaly could have shifted the outcome, both of which lacked supporting evidence in real-time monitoring.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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