Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 1 near 36–37°C because current short-range forecast guidance from regional models shows peak daytime readings in that range amid typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects amplifying sensible temperatures. Recent July observations, including peaks near 39°C, indicate the seasonal warm-up continues into early August before the usual gradual decline in monthly averages from 32°C highs. Key variables include steering patterns that limit cloud cover or rainfall, potential for localized intensification, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs. Historical climatology places August maxima around 31–35°C with occasional outliers above 38°C, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the upper 30s while leaving modest probability for an outlier spike if atmospheric conditions align.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 1 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 1 de agosto?
37°C 54%
36°C 22%
38°C 22%
39°C 5.7%
NOVO
$48,900 Vol.
NOVO
$48,900 Vol.
1 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
22%
37°C
54%
38°C
22%
39°C
6%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 54%
36°C 22%
38°C 22%
39°C 5.7%
NOVO
$48,900 Vol.
NOVO
$48,900 Vol.
1 ago 2026
31°C or below
$830 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,784 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$13,170 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,413 Vol.
22%
37°C
$7,874 Vol.
54%
38°C
$5,198 Vol.
22%
39°C
$6,784 Vol.
6%
40°C
$1,807 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 1 near 36–37°C because current short-range forecast guidance from regional models shows peak daytime readings in that range amid typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects amplifying sensible temperatures. Recent July observations, including peaks near 39°C, indicate the seasonal warm-up continues into early August before the usual gradual decline in monthly averages from 32°C highs. Key variables include steering patterns that limit cloud cover or rainfall, potential for localized intensification, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs. Historical climatology places August maxima around 31–35°C with occasional outliers above 38°C, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the upper 30s while leaving modest probability for an outlier spike if atmospheric conditions align.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$48,900Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 1 near 36–37°C because current short-range forecast guidance from regional models shows peak daytime readings in that range amid typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects amplifying sensible temperatures. Recent July observations, including peaks near 39°C, indicate the seasonal warm-up continues into early August before the usual gradual decline in monthly averages from 32°C highs. Key variables include steering patterns that limit cloud cover or rainfall, potential for localized intensification, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs. Historical climatology places August maxima around 31–35°C with occasional outliers above 38°C, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the upper 30s while leaving modest probability for an outlier spike if atmospheric conditions align.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,900Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 1 near 36–37°C because current short-range forecast guidance from regional models shows peak daytime readings in that range amid typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects amplifying sensible temperatures. Recent July observations, including peaks near 39°C, indicate the seasonal warm-up continues into early August before the usual gradual decline in monthly averages from 32°C highs. Key variables include steering patterns that limit cloud cover or rainfall, potential for localized intensification, and any late adjustments from updated numerical weather prediction runs. Historical climatology places August maxima around 31–35°C with occasional outliers above 38°C, supporting the market’s tight clustering around the upper 30s while leaving modest probability for an outlier spike if atmospheric conditions align.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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