Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, typically produces overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in early August amid high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance for August 2, 2026, align with this climatological baseline, placing the lowest reading near 27–28°C and driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent southerly flow and absence of frontal systems or typhoon influences have kept model spreads narrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the 27–28°C range while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by localized urban heat-island effects or unexpected cloud-cover changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 2 de agosto?
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
24%
28°C
49%
29°C
18%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$254 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
2%
26°C
$249 Vol.
9%
27°C
$838 Vol.
24%
28°C
$1,794 Vol.
49%
29°C
$291 Vol.
18%
30°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$223 Vol.
1%
32°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, typically produces overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in early August amid high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance for August 2, 2026, align with this climatological baseline, placing the lowest reading near 27–28°C and driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent southerly flow and absence of frontal systems or typhoon influences have kept model spreads narrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the 27–28°C range while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by localized urban heat-island effects or unexpected cloud-cover changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,844Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, typically produces overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in early August amid high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance for August 2, 2026, align with this climatological baseline, placing the lowest reading near 27–28°C and driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent southerly flow and absence of frontal systems or typhoon influences have kept model spreads narrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the 27–28°C range while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by localized urban heat-island effects or unexpected cloud-cover changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,844Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, typically produces overnight minimum temperatures of 25–28°C in early August amid high humidity and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance for August 2, 2026, align with this climatological baseline, placing the lowest reading near 27–28°C and driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent southerly flow and absence of frontal systems or typhoon influences have kept model spreads narrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the 27–28°C range while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by localized urban heat-island effects or unexpected cloud-cover changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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