**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 2, 2026, centers on 26–28°C as the most probable range, with 27°C holding the clearest lead at 44.5%.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, consistent with the broader pattern of above-average warmth across southern England this summer. Prolonged high pressure has favored clear skies and gradual warming, while recent model runs show limited cloud cover or showers that could cap peaks slightly below forecast values. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but the current 1.8°C seasonal anomaly and southerly flow of warmer air support the elevated outlook. Traders appear to weigh the risk of minor forecast adjustments or localized cooling against the strong consensus for mid-to-upper 20s, with probabilities tightening around the 27°C outcome as the day approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 2 de agosto?
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
$23,967 Vol.
$23,967 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
$23,967 Vol.
$23,967 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on August 2, 2026, centers on 26–28°C as the most probable range, with 27°C holding the clearest lead at 44.5%.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, consistent with the broader pattern of above-average warmth across southern England this summer. Prolonged high pressure has favored clear skies and gradual warming, while recent model runs show limited cloud cover or showers that could cap peaks slightly below forecast values. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but the current 1.8°C seasonal anomaly and southerly flow of warmer air support the elevated outlook. Traders appear to weigh the risk of minor forecast adjustments or localized cooling against the strong consensus for mid-to-upper 20s, with probabilities tightening around the 27°C outcome as the day approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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