Subtropical summer conditions in Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon and high solar insolation, position 29–30°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the day's maximum temperature. Persistent humidity around 80% and forecast showers or thunderstorms from regional models are expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 31–32°C but tempered by precipitation. Recent meteorological updates indicate stable steering patterns without strong typhoon influence, keeping extremes above 32°C at low implied odds while supporting the 28–31°C cluster. Updated official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on afternoon instability will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 1º de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 1º de agosto?
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
31°C 20.2%
28°C 9%
NOVO
$58,033 Vol.
NOVO
$58,033 Vol.
1 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C ou mais
1%
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
31°C 20.2%
28°C 9%
NOVO
$58,033 Vol.
NOVO
$58,033 Vol.
1 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$1,990 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,522 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10,332 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,416 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,433 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,155 Vol.
9%
29°C
$3,915 Vol.
37%
30°C
$4,675 Vol.
37%
31°C
$4,711 Vol.
20%
32°C
$3,422 Vol.
5%
33°C ou mais
$9,462 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical summer conditions in Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon and high solar insolation, position 29–30°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the day's maximum temperature. Persistent humidity around 80% and forecast showers or thunderstorms from regional models are expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 31–32°C but tempered by precipitation. Recent meteorological updates indicate stable steering patterns without strong typhoon influence, keeping extremes above 32°C at low implied odds while supporting the 28–31°C cluster. Updated official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on afternoon instability will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$58,033Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical summer conditions in Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon and high solar insolation, position 29–30°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the day's maximum temperature. Persistent humidity around 80% and forecast showers or thunderstorms from regional models are expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 31–32°C but tempered by precipitation. Recent meteorological updates indicate stable steering patterns without strong typhoon influence, keeping extremes above 32°C at low implied odds while supporting the 28–31°C cluster. Updated official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on afternoon instability will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,033Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Subtropical summer conditions in Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon and high solar insolation, position 29–30°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the day's maximum temperature. Persistent humidity around 80% and forecast showers or thunderstorms from regional models are expected to limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 31–32°C but tempered by precipitation. Recent meteorological updates indicate stable steering patterns without strong typhoon influence, keeping extremes above 32°C at low implied odds while supporting the 28–31°C cluster. Updated official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration on afternoon instability will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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