Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 3 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a persistent summer heat wave with daytime highs around 37°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 27°C. Key variables include cloud cover and humidity levels that moderate radiative cooling, potential scattered precipitation or thunderstorm activity which can trap heat near the surface, and steering winds influenced by regional pressure patterns. Subtropical monsoon dynamics and the urban heat island effect in Shanghai add variability, while model consensus on minimal typhoon influence supports the current distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines (typical lows 25–27°C) and upcoming model updates that could shift odds if forecasts revise.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 3 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 3 de agosto?
27°C 36%
28°C 25%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
36%
28°C
25%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
27°C 36%
28°C 25%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$29 Vol.
4%
23°C
$22 Vol.
8%
24°C
$22 Vol.
2%
25°C
$16 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$20 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$21 Vol.
1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
1%
32°C ou mais
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 3 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a persistent summer heat wave with daytime highs around 37°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 27°C. Key variables include cloud cover and humidity levels that moderate radiative cooling, potential scattered precipitation or thunderstorm activity which can trap heat near the surface, and steering winds influenced by regional pressure patterns. Subtropical monsoon dynamics and the urban heat island effect in Shanghai add variability, while model consensus on minimal typhoon influence supports the current distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines (typical lows 25–27°C) and upcoming model updates that could shift odds if forecasts revise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$192Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 3 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a persistent summer heat wave with daytime highs around 37°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 27°C. Key variables include cloud cover and humidity levels that moderate radiative cooling, potential scattered precipitation or thunderstorm activity which can trap heat near the surface, and steering winds influenced by regional pressure patterns. Subtropical monsoon dynamics and the urban heat island effect in Shanghai add variability, while model consensus on minimal typhoon influence supports the current distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines (typical lows 25–27°C) and upcoming model updates that could shift odds if forecasts revise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$192Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 3 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a persistent summer heat wave with daytime highs around 37°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 27°C. Key variables include cloud cover and humidity levels that moderate radiative cooling, potential scattered precipitation or thunderstorm activity which can trap heat near the surface, and steering winds influenced by regional pressure patterns. Subtropical monsoon dynamics and the urban heat island effect in Shanghai add variability, while model consensus on minimal typhoon influence supports the current distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines (typical lows 25–27°C) and upcoming model updates that could shift odds if forecasts revise.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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