Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Beijing reaching a daily high near 35–36°C on August 1, driven by a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification under clear skies. These conditions align with peak summer climatology for the region and explain the market’s strong consensus on 36°C (49%) and 35°C (32%). Afternoon observations at official stations will determine exact resolution, with any unexpected moisture influx or cloud cover potentially capping the peak at 35°C or pushing it to 37°C if radiative heating strengthens. Traders are watching the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of evening confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 1 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 1 de agosto?
36°C 50%
35°C 31%
37°C 14%
34°C 7%
NOVO
$36,356 Vol.
NOVO
$36,356 Vol.
1 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
31%
36°C
50%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 50%
35°C 31%
37°C 14%
34°C 7%
NOVO
$36,356 Vol.
NOVO
$36,356 Vol.
1 ago 2026
28°C or below
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,199 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,008 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,364 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,569 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,285 Vol.
2%
34°C
$2,708 Vol.
7%
35°C
$2,089 Vol.
31%
36°C
$5,216 Vol.
50%
37°C
$2,477 Vol.
14%
38°C or higher
$1,060 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Beijing reaching a daily high near 35–36°C on August 1, driven by a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification under clear skies. These conditions align with peak summer climatology for the region and explain the market’s strong consensus on 36°C (49%) and 35°C (32%). Afternoon observations at official stations will determine exact resolution, with any unexpected moisture influx or cloud cover potentially capping the peak at 35°C or pushing it to 37°C if radiative heating strengthens. Traders are watching the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of evening confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$36,356Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Beijing reaching a daily high near 35–36°C on August 1, driven by a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification under clear skies. These conditions align with peak summer climatology for the region and explain the market’s strong consensus on 36°C (49%) and 35°C (32%). Afternoon observations at official stations will determine exact resolution, with any unexpected moisture influx or cloud cover potentially capping the peak at 35°C or pushing it to 37°C if radiative heating strengthens. Traders are watching the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of evening confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,356Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to Beijing reaching a daily high near 35–36°C on August 1, driven by a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification under clear skies. These conditions align with peak summer climatology for the region and explain the market’s strong consensus on 36°C (49%) and 35°C (32%). Afternoon observations at official stations will determine exact resolution, with any unexpected moisture influx or cloud cover potentially capping the peak at 35°C or pushing it to 37°C if radiative heating strengthens. Traders are watching the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of evening confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions