Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 1 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 1 de agosto?
34°C 42%
35°C 33%
36°C 15%
33°C 6%
$39,790 Vol.
$39,790 Vol.
1 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
42%
35°C
33%
36°C
15%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
35°C 33%
36°C 15%
33°C 6%
$39,790 Vol.
$39,790 Vol.
1 ago 2026
29°C or below
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,333 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,359 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,700 Vol.
6%
34°C
$2,544 Vol.
42%
35°C
$2,981 Vol.
33%
36°C
$3,361 Vol.
15%
37°C
$3,503 Vol.
2%
38°C
$4,088 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,539 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$39,790Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,790Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate Tokyo will reach daytime highs near 35°C on August 1 under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and urban heat retention amplifying temperatures above the 31.8°C seasonal normal. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting trader consensus around 34–35°C as the most probable official maximum, while the low odds on 36°C or higher reflect the absence of exceptional heat domes or stalled fronts in the latest guidance. Historical August data places average highs near 31–32°C, but persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover this week have shifted implied probabilities upward. Final JMA observations expected by evening will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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