Skip to main content
icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?

ago 1

ago 2

ago 1

ago 2

25°C 46%

26°C 35%

24°C 18%

27°C 4.2%

Polymarket
NOVO

25°C 46%

26°C 35%

24°C 18%

27°C 4.2%

Polymarket
NOVO

20°C ou menos

$92 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$182 Vol.

1%

22°C

$97 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$154 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$207 Vol.

18%

25°C

$509 Vol.

46%

26°C

$579 Vol.

35%

27°C

$187 Vol.

4%

28°C

$137 Vol.

2%

29°C

$177 Vol.

<1%

30°C ou mais

$142 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo’s typical August nocturnal minimums average 24–25°C, shaped by the urban heat island effect, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and seasonal subtropical high pressure. Long-range guidance for August 2 points to partly cloudy skies with possible showers that reduce overnight heat loss through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around 25°C (45% market-implied odds) and 26°C (34.5%). Model consensus favors this narrow band over cooler or warmer extremes, as deviations would require stronger frontal passages or clearer, drier conditions not currently indicated. Traders monitor Japan Meteorological Agency updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,462
Data de Término
2 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo’s typical August nocturnal minimums average 24–25°C, shaped by the urban heat island effect, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and seasonal subtropical high pressure. Long-range guidance for August 2 points to partly cloudy skies with possible showers that reduce overnight heat loss through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around 25°C (45% market-implied odds) and 26°C (34.5%). Model consensus favors this narrow band over cooler or warmer extremes, as deviations would require stronger frontal passages or clearer, drier conditions not currently indicated. Traders monitor Japan Meteorological Agency updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,462
Data de Término
2 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Relacionado

icon for A temperatura mais baixa em Londres será de 17°C em 31 de julho?

A temperatura mais baixa em Londres será de 17°C em 31 de julho?

100%
Sim
icon for Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?

100%
icon for Bitcoin Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down

51%
Up

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 46%, followed by "26°C" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?" is "25°C" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 2 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.