Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 31 show overnight lows centered near 15–16°C under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. Primary differentiating factors include the degree of radiative cooling overnight, modulated by cloud thickness and wind speeds that limit boundary-layer mixing; any light precipitation or frontal passage could suppress minima toward 13–14°C, while clearer conditions favor values near 16°C. Moscow’s urban heat island further buffers extremes relative to rural baselines. Trader consensus around 13–14°C reflects model spread in short-range guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global ensembles, with resolution hinging on final 24-hour observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 31 de agosto?
9°C or below 87%
19°C or higher 86%
17°C 50%
14°C 47%
9°C or below
87%
10°C
44%
11°C
45%
12°C
45%
13°C
46%
14°C
47%
15°C
45%
16°C
44%
17°C
50%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
86%
9°C or below 87%
19°C or higher 86%
17°C 50%
14°C 47%
9°C or below
87%
10°C
44%
11°C
45%
12°C
45%
13°C
46%
14°C
47%
15°C
45%
16°C
44%
17°C
50%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 31 show overnight lows centered near 15–16°C under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. Primary differentiating factors include the degree of radiative cooling overnight, modulated by cloud thickness and wind speeds that limit boundary-layer mixing; any light precipitation or frontal passage could suppress minima toward 13–14°C, while clearer conditions favor values near 16°C. Moscow’s urban heat island further buffers extremes relative to rural baselines. Trader consensus around 13–14°C reflects model spread in short-range guidance from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global ensembles, with resolution hinging on final 24-hour observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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