Persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow have kept Paris temperatures near seasonal norms on August 30, 2026, with official and model forecasts converging on a daily high of 23–24°C under overcast skies and limited solar heating. Météo updates and numerical guidance show modest warming capped by humidity and light drizzle potential, aligning with the 24.0°C climatological average high and positioning 24°C as the modal outcome at 61% implied probability. Slight upside risk to 25°C reflects minor model spread if partial clearing occurs, while probabilities below 23°C or above 26°C remain negligible given stable steering patterns and the absence of heat advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 30 de agosto?
24°C 83%
25°C 19%
26°C 1.7%
27°C or higher <1%
$49,309 Vol.
$49,309 Vol.
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
78%
25°C
19%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 83%
25°C 19%
26°C 1.7%
27°C or higher <1%
$49,309 Vol.
$49,309 Vol.
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
$1,202 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,196 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,111 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$896 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,488 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,557 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11,911 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,604 Vol.
78%
25°C
$6,687 Vol.
19%
26°C
$8,290 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow have kept Paris temperatures near seasonal norms on August 30, 2026, with official and model forecasts converging on a daily high of 23–24°C under overcast skies and limited solar heating. Météo updates and numerical guidance show modest warming capped by humidity and light drizzle potential, aligning with the 24.0°C climatological average high and positioning 24°C as the modal outcome at 61% implied probability. Slight upside risk to 25°C reflects minor model spread if partial clearing occurs, while probabilities below 23°C or above 26°C remain negligible given stable steering patterns and the absence of heat advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$49,309Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow have kept Paris temperatures near seasonal norms on August 30, 2026, with official and model forecasts converging on a daily high of 23–24°C under overcast skies and limited solar heating. Météo updates and numerical guidance show modest warming capped by humidity and light drizzle potential, aligning with the 24.0°C climatological average high and positioning 24°C as the modal outcome at 61% implied probability. Slight upside risk to 25°C reflects minor model spread if partial clearing occurs, while probabilities below 23°C or above 26°C remain negligible given stable steering patterns and the absence of heat advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,309Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and southwesterly flow have kept Paris temperatures near seasonal norms on August 30, 2026, with official and model forecasts converging on a daily high of 23–24°C under overcast skies and limited solar heating. Météo updates and numerical guidance show modest warming capped by humidity and light drizzle potential, aligning with the 24.0°C climatological average high and positioning 24°C as the modal outcome at 61% implied probability. Slight upside risk to 25°C reflects minor model spread if partial clearing occurs, while probabilities below 23°C or above 26°C remain negligible given stable steering patterns and the absence of heat advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and forecast updates heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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