Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 30 project a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied outcome for that exact temperature. This consensus draws from regional model runs incorporating subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and typical late-summer heating patterns, with historical August maxima frequently reaching 34–36°C. Afternoon convection may cap peaks near official thresholds, while measurement at the primary urban station reduces variance. The sole realistic challenge would be stronger or earlier storm activity lowering the observed maximum below 35°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 30 de agosto?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,629 Vol.
$38,629 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,629 Vol.
$38,629 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 30 project a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied outcome for that exact temperature. This consensus draws from regional model runs incorporating subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and typical late-summer heating patterns, with historical August maxima frequently reaching 34–36°C. Afternoon convection may cap peaks near official thresholds, while measurement at the primary urban station reduces variance. The sole realistic challenge would be stronger or earlier storm activity lowering the observed maximum below 35°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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