**Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied highest temperature for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty based on consistent official and model forecasts.** Late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature light winds, variable cloud cover, and daytime highs stabilized around 32–33°C after recent cooling from scattered showers. Multiple sources, including Met Office guidance and regional forecasts, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with hourly peaks not exceeding this threshold. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where post-monsoon stabilization limits extreme heat. The only realistic challenges would involve unexpected clearing that boosts insolation beyond model runs or minor station-specific measurement differences, though current observational trends and consensus across agencies make such shifts improbable by resolution time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 30 de agosto?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$52,976 Vol.
$52,976 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$52,976 Vol.
$52,976 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on 33°C as the implied highest temperature for Chengdu on August 30, 2026, reflecting near-certainty based on consistent official and model forecasts.** Late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature light winds, variable cloud cover, and daytime highs stabilized around 32–33°C after recent cooling from scattered showers. Multiple sources, including Met Office guidance and regional forecasts, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with hourly peaks not exceeding this threshold. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where post-monsoon stabilization limits extreme heat. The only realistic challenges would involve unexpected clearing that boosts insolation beyond model runs or minor station-specific measurement differences, though current observational trends and consensus across agencies make such shifts improbable by resolution time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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