Current forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C in Chengdu on August 31 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant precipitation or frontal systems. This consensus reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with historical climatology for the period. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome at 45% implied probability likely incorporates slight downside risk from model variability or localized urban effects, while probabilities cluster around 21–23°C outcomes. Final resolution will depend on official station readings, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 31 de agosto?
19°C 44%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C
44%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
1%
19°C 44%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
9%
18°C
$50 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
44%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$10 Vol.
24%
25°C
$10 Vol.
26%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C in Chengdu on August 31 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant precipitation or frontal systems. This consensus reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with historical climatology for the period. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome at 45% implied probability likely incorporates slight downside risk from model variability or localized urban effects, while probabilities cluster around 21–23°C outcomes. Final resolution will depend on official station readings, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$355Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C in Chengdu on August 31 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant precipitation or frontal systems. This consensus reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with historical climatology for the period. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome at 45% implied probability likely incorporates slight downside risk from model variability or localized urban effects, while probabilities cluster around 21–23°C outcomes. Final resolution will depend on official station readings, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$355Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C in Chengdu on August 31 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant precipitation or frontal systems. This consensus reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with historical climatology for the period. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome at 45% implied probability likely incorporates slight downside risk from model variability or localized urban effects, while probabilities cluster around 21–23°C outcomes. Final resolution will depend on official station readings, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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