Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 30 de agosto?
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
$38,597 Vol.
$38,597 Vol.
30 ago 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
$38,597 Vol.
$38,597 Vol.
30 ago 2026
73°F or below
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,131 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$8,781 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$3,594 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$8,967 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$7,081 Vol.
52%
84-85°F
$2,685 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$1,499 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$991 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,324 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$658 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$38,597Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,597Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions