Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low in Chengdu of 21–23°C on August 30, driven by light winds, moderate humidity around 50–90%, and partly cloudy to clear skies that allow limited radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance points to a diurnal range with daytime highs near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer climatology but without strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader sentiment favors 23°C as the most probable recorded minimum at the primary station, reflecting tight model consensus and minimal expected deviations from urban heat retention or measurement timing. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 30 de agosto?
18°C or below 45%
22°C 44%
21°C 43%
20°C 2%
18°C or below
45%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
43%
22°C
44%
23°C
55%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 45%
22°C 44%
21°C 43%
20°C 2%
18°C or below
45%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
43%
22°C
44%
23°C
55%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a nighttime low in Chengdu of 21–23°C on August 30, driven by light winds, moderate humidity around 50–90%, and partly cloudy to clear skies that allow limited radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance points to a diurnal range with daytime highs near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer climatology but without strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader sentiment favors 23°C as the most probable recorded minimum at the primary station, reflecting tight model consensus and minimal expected deviations from urban heat retention or measurement timing. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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