Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and other meteorological services project Moscow's overnight low on August 30 near 9–11°C under variable cloud cover with possible light rain and southerly winds at 2–11 m/s. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling consistent with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for the date is exactly 11°C. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings lower, while urban heat-island effects in the city center temper suburban values near 6–9°C. This alignment of verified observational baselines, current forecast runs, and absence of anomalous pressure or moisture patterns underpins the dominant 11°C market-implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 30 de agosto?
11°C 99%
10°C 18.1%
14°C 1.0%
15°C or higher <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
18%
11°C
99%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 99%
10°C 18.1%
14°C 1.0%
15°C or higher <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
5°C or below
$162 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$111 Vol.
18%
11°C
$487 Vol.
99%
12°C
$208 Vol.
1%
13°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$343 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and other meteorological services project Moscow's overnight low on August 30 near 9–11°C under variable cloud cover with possible light rain and southerly winds at 2–11 m/s. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling consistent with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for the date is exactly 11°C. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings lower, while urban heat-island effects in the city center temper suburban values near 6–9°C. This alignment of verified observational baselines, current forecast runs, and absence of anomalous pressure or moisture patterns underpins the dominant 11°C market-implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,606Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and other meteorological services project Moscow's overnight low on August 30 near 9–11°C under variable cloud cover with possible light rain and southerly winds at 2–11 m/s. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling consistent with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for the date is exactly 11°C. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings lower, while urban heat-island effects in the city center temper suburban values near 6–9°C. This alignment of verified observational baselines, current forecast runs, and absence of anomalous pressure or moisture patterns underpins the dominant 11°C market-implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,606Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and other meteorological services project Moscow's overnight low on August 30 near 9–11°C under variable cloud cover with possible light rain and southerly winds at 2–11 m/s. These conditions support moderate radiative cooling consistent with late-summer climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for the date is exactly 11°C. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings lower, while urban heat-island effects in the city center temper suburban values near 6–9°C. This alignment of verified observational baselines, current forecast runs, and absence of anomalous pressure or moisture patterns underpins the dominant 11°C market-implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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