**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 22°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for August 30, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) issued a forecast for daytime highs of 20–22°C under cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s. Multiple independent sources, including live station reports, confirm temperatures reaching or holding near 22°C during peak afternoon hours, consistent with the market-implied outcome. This positioning aligns with near-term atmospheric conditions: a stable air mass with limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation, preventing the stronger surface warming seen in historical analogs (long-term average high ~20°C, all-time August 30 record 30.4°C in 1992). Realistic challenges remain narrow at this stage of the day—primarily if unforecasted clearing allows additional insolation or if measurement stations record a brief spike above 22°C before sunset—but current model consensus and observational data make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 30 de agosto?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,453 Vol.
$20,453 Vol.
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,453 Vol.
$20,453 Vol.
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
$335 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,740 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,634 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,468 Vol.
100%
23°C
$3,068 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,495 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$969 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 22°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for August 30, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) issued a forecast for daytime highs of 20–22°C under cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s. Multiple independent sources, including live station reports, confirm temperatures reaching or holding near 22°C during peak afternoon hours, consistent with the market-implied outcome.
This positioning aligns with near-term atmospheric conditions: a stable air mass with limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation, preventing the stronger surface warming seen in historical analogs (long-term average high ~20°C, all-time August 30 record 30.4°C in 1992).
Realistic challenges remain narrow at this stage of the day—primarily if unforecasted clearing allows additional insolation or if measurement stations record a brief spike above 22°C before sunset—but current model consensus and observational data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20,453Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 22°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for August 30, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) issued a forecast for daytime highs of 20–22°C under cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s. Multiple independent sources, including live station reports, confirm temperatures reaching or holding near 22°C during peak afternoon hours, consistent with the market-implied outcome.
This positioning aligns with near-term atmospheric conditions: a stable air mass with limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation, preventing the stronger surface warming seen in historical analogs (long-term average high ~20°C, all-time August 30 record 30.4°C in 1992).
Realistic challenges remain narrow at this stage of the day—primarily if unforecasted clearing allows additional insolation or if measurement stations record a brief spike above 22°C before sunset—but current model consensus and observational data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,453Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 22°C as Moscow’s highest temperature for August 30, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) issued a forecast for daytime highs of 20–22°C under cloudy skies with periods of light to moderate rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s. Multiple independent sources, including live station reports, confirm temperatures reaching or holding near 22°C during peak afternoon hours, consistent with the market-implied outcome. This positioning aligns with near-term atmospheric conditions: a stable air mass with limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation, preventing the stronger surface warming seen in historical analogs (long-term average high ~20°C, all-time August 30 record 30.4°C in 1992). Realistic challenges remain narrow at this stage of the day—primarily if unforecasted clearing allows additional insolation or if measurement stations record a brief spike above 22°C before sunset—but current model consensus and observational data make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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