Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models (including GFS) indicate Moscow's August 31 daytime maximum will likely reach 22–24°C under variable cloudiness, light southwest winds of 3–10 m/s, and possible scattered light rain or drizzle. This positions trader consensus near the middle of that range, with 23°C edging 22°C due to modest model spread in peak insolation timing. Differentiating the two hinges on subtle factors: the precise degree of afternoon cloud cover modulating shortwave radiation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and any evaporative cooling from brief showers, all within a transitional late-summer air mass showing limited warm advection. Historical late-August averages near 20–23°C further anchor expectations, while upcoming afternoon model runs or official updates could shift probabilities if cloud or precipitation trends change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 31 de agosto?
23°C 45%
22°C 39%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
39%
23°C
45%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 39%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$210 Vol.
2%
21°C
$699 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,517 Vol.
39%
23°C
$577 Vol.
45%
24°C
$1,219 Vol.
7%
25°C
$535 Vol.
2%
26°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models (including GFS) indicate Moscow's August 31 daytime maximum will likely reach 22–24°C under variable cloudiness, light southwest winds of 3–10 m/s, and possible scattered light rain or drizzle. This positions trader consensus near the middle of that range, with 23°C edging 22°C due to modest model spread in peak insolation timing. Differentiating the two hinges on subtle factors: the precise degree of afternoon cloud cover modulating shortwave radiation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and any evaporative cooling from brief showers, all within a transitional late-summer air mass showing limited warm advection. Historical late-August averages near 20–23°C further anchor expectations, while upcoming afternoon model runs or official updates could shift probabilities if cloud or precipitation trends change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,914Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models (including GFS) indicate Moscow's August 31 daytime maximum will likely reach 22–24°C under variable cloudiness, light southwest winds of 3–10 m/s, and possible scattered light rain or drizzle. This positions trader consensus near the middle of that range, with 23°C edging 22°C due to modest model spread in peak insolation timing. Differentiating the two hinges on subtle factors: the precise degree of afternoon cloud cover modulating shortwave radiation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and any evaporative cooling from brief showers, all within a transitional late-summer air mass showing limited warm advection. Historical late-August averages near 20–23°C further anchor expectations, while upcoming afternoon model runs or official updates could shift probabilities if cloud or precipitation trends change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,914Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models (including GFS) indicate Moscow's August 31 daytime maximum will likely reach 22–24°C under variable cloudiness, light southwest winds of 3–10 m/s, and possible scattered light rain or drizzle. This positions trader consensus near the middle of that range, with 23°C edging 22°C due to modest model spread in peak insolation timing. Differentiating the two hinges on subtle factors: the precise degree of afternoon cloud cover modulating shortwave radiation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and any evaporative cooling from brief showers, all within a transitional late-summer air mass showing limited warm advection. Historical late-August averages near 20–23°C further anchor expectations, while upcoming afternoon model runs or official updates could shift probabilities if cloud or precipitation trends change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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