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Demographic predictions & odds

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Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

45%

$1.6K Vol.

$553 Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

37%

-1.5%–0%

$37.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

17%

$13.9K Vol.

$439 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

50%

400-500k

$111K Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

44%

130m+

$7.4K Vol.

$44.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Turnout

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Turnout

63%

60-64%

$14.4K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

32%

December 31

$416K Vol.

$175K Liq.

24

Ends in 7 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

10

Zelenskyy # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

50%

40-59

$12.6K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

31%

60-79

$2.6K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Zelenskyy # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

27%

60-79

$9.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

78%

4.0–5.0%

$707K Vol.

$144K Liq.

10

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

55%

de la Espriella 5-10%

$144K Vol.

$114K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 days

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

44%

Bores 5%+

$0 Vol.

$543 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

23%

Democrats 8-10%

$81.5K Vol.

$330K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%

$76.8K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

46%

>2.5%

$30.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

15%

84%+

$618 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Demographic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Demographic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.