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Ayatollah Khamenei predictions & odds

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Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

6%

December 31

$16.0K Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

66%

<5

$4.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Khamenei # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

45%

<5

$11.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

86%

<5

$1.8K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

12%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

178

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

31%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$389K today

$127K Liq.

1,070

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

June 30

$474K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

11

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

2%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

77

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

69%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$14M Vol.

$334K today

$1M Liq.

120

Ends in 7 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

7%

$594K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

25

Ends in 7 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

2%

$50M Vol.

$737K today

$482K Liq.

3

Ends in 22 days

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

13%

$19M Vol.

$81.3K today

$257K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

World Cup: Iran Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Iran Stage of Elimination

49%

Group Stage

$101 Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

5%

$11M Vol.

$135K Liq.

48

Ends in 7 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

57%

July 31

$30M Vol.

$258K today

$286K Liq.

570

Ends in 22 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$20M Vol.

$287K Liq.

411

Ends in 22 days

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

3%

$2M Vol.

$68.0K Liq.

27

Ends in 22 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

2%

Any U.S. House member

$407K Vol.

$92.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 22 days

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

62%

July 31

$27M Vol.

$984K today

$357K Liq.

354

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

9%

$3.2K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ayatollah Khamenei.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Ayatollah Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $196.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ayatollah Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.