Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
OpenAI 32%
SpaceXAI 31%
Microsoft 30%
Baidu 28.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
19%
SpaceXAI
31%
Microsoft
30%
Baidu
29%
Anthropic
25%
Moonshot
25%
DeepSeek
25%
Xiaomi
25%
Mistral
25%
ByteDance
17%
Meta
16%
Alibaba
14%
Tencent
13%
12%
Z.ai
12%
Nvidia
9%
MiniMax
5%
Amazon
5%
Meituan
4%
OpenAI 32%
SpaceXAI 31%
Microsoft 30%
Baidu 28.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
$89 Wol.
19%
SpaceXAI
$33 Wol.
31%
Microsoft
$33 Wol.
30%
Baidu
$33 Wol.
29%
Anthropic
$53 Wol.
25%
Moonshot
$33 Wol.
25%
DeepSeek
$33 Wol.
25%
Xiaomi
$33 Wol.
25%
Mistral
$33 Wol.
25%
ByteDance
$33 Wol.
17%
Meta
$33 Wol.
16%
Alibaba
$33 Wol.
14%
Tencent
$33 Wol.
13%
$33 Wol.
12%
Z.ai
$33 Wol.
12%
Nvidia
$33 Wol.
9%
MiniMax
$33 Wol.
5%
Amazon
$33 Wol.
5%
Meituan
$33 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$700Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$700Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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