Anthropic's strong lead in trader-implied odds stems from its Claude Mythos 5 and Fable 5 models topping August 2026 benchmarks, including the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, after their June release introduced a new capability tier above prior Opus versions. Recent releases emphasize adaptive reasoning, safety, and alignment, sustaining competitive positioning against rivals. xAI's 14% odds reflect Grok 4.6's August launch targeting long-running agents and coding tasks, yet it matches rather than exceeds Claude on composite scores. OpenAI and Google trail due to less dominant recent frontier updates, while smaller players face steeper scaling hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include further model iterations and third-party evaluations that could shift aggregated trader sentiment before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic 66%
xAI 13.9%
OpenAI 9%
Google 6%
$710,849 Wol.
$710,849 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic
66%
xAI
14%
OpenAI
9%
6%
Meta
3%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 66%
xAI 13.9%
OpenAI 9%
Google 6%
$710,849 Wol.
$710,849 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic
$78,890 Wol.
66%
xAI
$56,067 Wol.
14%
OpenAI
$58,373 Wol.
9%
$38,440 Wol.
6%
Meta
$48,160 Wol.
3%
Moonshot
$52,355 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$50,415 Wol.
1%
Alibaba
$44,616 Wol.
1%
Z.ai
$45,964 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$55,570 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$36,846 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$40,377 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$35,992 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$31,676 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$37,108 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's strong lead in trader-implied odds stems from its Claude Mythos 5 and Fable 5 models topping August 2026 benchmarks, including the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, after their June release introduced a new capability tier above prior Opus versions. Recent releases emphasize adaptive reasoning, safety, and alignment, sustaining competitive positioning against rivals. xAI's 14% odds reflect Grok 4.6's August launch targeting long-running agents and coding tasks, yet it matches rather than exceeds Claude on composite scores. OpenAI and Google trail due to less dominant recent frontier updates, while smaller players face steeper scaling hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include further model iterations and third-party evaluations that could shift aggregated trader sentiment before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$710,849Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's strong lead in trader-implied odds stems from its Claude Mythos 5 and Fable 5 models topping August 2026 benchmarks, including the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, after their June release introduced a new capability tier above prior Opus versions. Recent releases emphasize adaptive reasoning, safety, and alignment, sustaining competitive positioning against rivals. xAI's 14% odds reflect Grok 4.6's August launch targeting long-running agents and coding tasks, yet it matches rather than exceeds Claude on composite scores. OpenAI and Google trail due to less dominant recent frontier updates, while smaller players face steeper scaling hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include further model iterations and third-party evaluations that could shift aggregated trader sentiment before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$710,849Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's strong lead in trader-implied odds stems from its Claude Mythos 5 and Fable 5 models topping August 2026 benchmarks, including the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, after their June release introduced a new capability tier above prior Opus versions. Recent releases emphasize adaptive reasoning, safety, and alignment, sustaining competitive positioning against rivals. xAI's 14% odds reflect Grok 4.6's August launch targeting long-running agents and coding tasks, yet it matches rather than exceeds Claude on composite scores. OpenAI and Google trail due to less dominant recent frontier updates, while smaller players face steeper scaling hurdles. Key catalysts ahead include further model iterations and third-party evaluations that could shift aggregated trader sentiment before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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