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icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Technologia·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Technologia·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 1

Nov 1

Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic 86%

OpenAI 13.4%

Google 2.1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$1,943,991 Wol.

Anthropic 86%

OpenAI 13.4%

Google 2.1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$1,943,991 Wol.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$404,762 Wol.

86%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$338,869 Wol.

13%

icon for Google

Google

$172,543 Wol.

2%

icon for Meta

Meta

$169,415 Wol.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$162,799 Wol.

<1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$142,477 Wol.

<1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$70,811 Wol.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$33,925 Wol.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$100,029 Wol.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$33,230 Wol.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$77,310 Wol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$19,033 Wol.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$47,425 Wol.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$17,539 Wol.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$14,148 Wol.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$23,406 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$25,591 Wol.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$18,597 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$12,889 Wol.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$21,501 Wol.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$37,694 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which tops current independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5 at 83 and leads on agentic coding and Terminal-Bench evaluations, is the main factor behind its 85.5% implied probability. The update improves cost efficiency and capabilities in knowledge work and long-horizon tasks relative to prior Fable and Opus versions, widening the gap over rivals in the final weeks before month-end. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, rolled out days later and scoring around 81 on the same metrics with strengths in software engineering and cybersecurity, has narrowed but not closed that lead, consistent with its lower 13.4% odds. Other labs trail further behind on verifiable frontier benchmarks, and the brief remaining window reduces the chance of disruptive new releases shifting consensus before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$1,943,991
Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which tops current independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5 at 83 and leads on agentic coding and Terminal-Bench evaluations, is the main factor behind its 85.5% implied probability. The update improves cost efficiency and capabilities in knowledge work and long-horizon tasks relative to prior Fable and Opus versions, widening the gap over rivals in the final weeks before month-end. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, rolled out days later and scoring around 81 on the same metrics with strengths in software engineering and cybersecurity, has narrowed but not closed that lead, consistent with its lower 13.4% odds. Other labs trail further behind on verifiable frontier benchmarks, and the brief remaining window reduces the chance of disruptive new releases shifting consensus before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$1,943,991
Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Which company has the best AI model end of September?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 21 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Anthropic" z 86%, za nim "OpenAI" z 13%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 86¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 86% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" wygenerował $1.9 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 20, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Which company has the best AI model end of September?", przeglądaj 21 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" jest "Anthropic" z 86%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 86% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "OpenAI" z 13%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.