Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 79% implied probability for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of September 2026, driven by its Claude Opus and Fable variants consistently topping the lmarena.ai mathematical leaderboard with Elo ratings above 1528. Recent confirmation that Anthropic researchers used an internal Claude model to formalize Andrew Wiles’ proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem in just 11 days has reinforced perceptions of superior mathematical reasoning and proof-generation capabilities. OpenAI trails at 16% amid strong FrontierMath v2 results for its GPT-5.6 series, while Google sits at 2.3% despite competitive AIME scores. With the market resolving soon, traders are focusing on any final leaderboard shifts or benchmark updates in the remaining weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Anthropic 79%
OpenAI 16%
Google 2.3%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,305 Wol.
$56,305 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
79%
OpenAI
16%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 79%
OpenAI 16%
Google 2.3%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,305 Wol.
$56,305 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$15,993 Wol.
79%
OpenAI
$18,573 Wol.
16%
$7,964 Wol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$527 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$1,333 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$642 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,433 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,234 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,067 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$469 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$499 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$458 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$466 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$450 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$449 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$459 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$609 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$518 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$599 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 79% implied probability for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of September 2026, driven by its Claude Opus and Fable variants consistently topping the lmarena.ai mathematical leaderboard with Elo ratings above 1528. Recent confirmation that Anthropic researchers used an internal Claude model to formalize Andrew Wiles’ proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem in just 11 days has reinforced perceptions of superior mathematical reasoning and proof-generation capabilities. OpenAI trails at 16% amid strong FrontierMath v2 results for its GPT-5.6 series, while Google sits at 2.3% despite competitive AIME scores. With the market resolving soon, traders are focusing on any final leaderboard shifts or benchmark updates in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$56,305Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 79% implied probability for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of September 2026, driven by its Claude Opus and Fable variants consistently topping the lmarena.ai mathematical leaderboard with Elo ratings above 1528. Recent confirmation that Anthropic researchers used an internal Claude model to formalize Andrew Wiles’ proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem in just 11 days has reinforced perceptions of superior mathematical reasoning and proof-generation capabilities. OpenAI trails at 16% amid strong FrontierMath v2 results for its GPT-5.6 series, while Google sits at 2.3% despite competitive AIME scores. With the market resolving soon, traders are focusing on any final leaderboard shifts or benchmark updates in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$56,305Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 79% implied probability for the best Text Arena Math AI model by end of September 2026, driven by its Claude Opus and Fable variants consistently topping the lmarena.ai mathematical leaderboard with Elo ratings above 1528. Recent confirmation that Anthropic researchers used an internal Claude model to formalize Andrew Wiles’ proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem in just 11 days has reinforced perceptions of superior mathematical reasoning and proof-generation capabilities. OpenAI trails at 16% amid strong FrontierMath v2 results for its GPT-5.6 series, while Google sits at 2.3% despite competitive AIME scores. With the market resolving soon, traders are focusing on any final leaderboard shifts or benchmark updates in the remaining weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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