Anthropic’s rapid cadence of Claude 5-series releases, including Opus 5 in late July 2026 and Fable 5.1 in early September, has traders focused on the next Opus iteration, with market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent leaks and routing observations point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout within days, driven by efficiency gains and capabilities approaching frontier models like Fable at lower cost. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates with new safeguards and agentic features, reinforces expectations of another Opus variant soon. Key near-term catalysts include any official model card updates, API identifiers, or announcements at upcoming developer events that could confirm or shift timelines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$141,609 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
81%
September 17
4%
September 20
12%
September 24
71%
September 27
76%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$141,609 Wol.
September 30
$64,799 Wol.
81%
September 17
$7,931 Wol.
4%
September 20
$3,465 Wol.
12%
September 24
$3,117 Wol.
71%
September 27
$2,134 Wol.
76%
October 31
$13,502 Wol.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence of Claude 5-series releases, including Opus 5 in late July 2026 and Fable 5.1 in early September, has traders focused on the next Opus iteration, with market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent leaks and routing observations point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout within days, driven by efficiency gains and capabilities approaching frontier models like Fable at lower cost. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates with new safeguards and agentic features, reinforces expectations of another Opus variant soon. Key near-term catalysts include any official model card updates, API identifiers, or announcements at upcoming developer events that could confirm or shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$141,609Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence of Claude 5-series releases, including Opus 5 in late July 2026 and Fable 5.1 in early September, has traders focused on the next Opus iteration, with market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent leaks and routing observations point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout within days, driven by efficiency gains and capabilities approaching frontier models like Fable at lower cost. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates with new safeguards and agentic features, reinforces expectations of another Opus variant soon. Key near-term catalysts include any official model card updates, API identifiers, or announcements at upcoming developer events that could confirm or shift timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$141,609Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence of Claude 5-series releases, including Opus 5 in late July 2026 and Fable 5.1 in early September, has traders focused on the next Opus iteration, with market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent leaks and routing observations point to a possible Opus 5.2 rollout within days, driven by efficiency gains and capabilities approaching frontier models like Fable at lower cost. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent updates with new safeguards and agentic features, reinforces expectations of another Opus variant soon. Key near-term catalysts include any official model card updates, API identifiers, or announcements at upcoming developer events that could confirm or shift timelines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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