OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 9.6%
$104,801 Wol.
$104,801 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
22%
1.5T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 9.6%
$104,801 Wol.
$104,801 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$8,050 Wol.
1%
500–750B
$9,889 Wol.
2%
750B–1T
$10,725 Wol.
10%
1T–1.25T
$15,107 Wol.
18%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,346 Wol.
22%
1.5T+
$27,961 Wol.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$22,724 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$104,801Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$104,801Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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