OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10.8%
$106,327 Wol.
$106,327 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
22%
1.5T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
11%
1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10.8%
$106,327 Wol.
$106,327 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$8,050 Wol.
1%
500–750B
$9,889 Wol.
2%
750B–1T
$10,925 Wol.
10%
1T–1.25T
$15,107 Wol.
18%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,359 Wol.
22%
1.5T+
$27,961 Wol.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$24,036 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$106,327Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$106,327Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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