Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion because the company’s May 2026 Series H round valued it at $965 billion post-money on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential S-1 filing in June and investor discussions targeting an October 2026 debut near or above $2 trillion. Strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, continued infrastructure partnerships, and positioning ahead of peers in the competitive AI sector reinforce this consensus among capital-backed participants. A sharp market correction, unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, or material delays pushing the IPO past late 2027 remain the primary scenarios that could shift the odds away from the current high-valuation outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano600B+ 95.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B 1.1%
<100B <1%
$423,021 Wol.
$423,021 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
600B+ 95.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.0%
400–600B 1.1%
<100B <1%
$423,021 Wol.
$423,021 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
<100B
$156,464 Wol.
<1%
100–200B
$74,877 Wol.
<1%
200–300B
$19,769 Wol.
<1%
300–400B
$69,853 Wol.
<1%
400–600B
$22,210 Wol.
1%
600B+
$46,515 Wol.
96%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$33,333 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion because the company’s May 2026 Series H round valued it at $965 billion post-money on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential S-1 filing in June and investor discussions targeting an October 2026 debut near or above $2 trillion. Strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, continued infrastructure partnerships, and positioning ahead of peers in the competitive AI sector reinforce this consensus among capital-backed participants. A sharp market correction, unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, or material delays pushing the IPO past late 2027 remain the primary scenarios that could shift the odds away from the current high-valuation outcome.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$423,021Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion because the company’s May 2026 Series H round valued it at $965 billion post-money on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential S-1 filing in June and investor discussions targeting an October 2026 debut near or above $2 trillion. Strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, continued infrastructure partnerships, and positioning ahead of peers in the competitive AI sector reinforce this consensus among capital-backed participants. A sharp market correction, unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, or material delays pushing the IPO past late 2027 remain the primary scenarios that could shift the odds away from the current high-valuation outcome.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$423,021Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability to an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion because the company’s May 2026 Series H round valued it at $965 billion post-money on a $47 billion revenue run-rate, followed by a confidential S-1 filing in June and investor discussions targeting an October 2026 debut near or above $2 trillion. Strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, continued infrastructure partnerships, and positioning ahead of peers in the competitive AI sector reinforce this consensus among capital-backed participants. A sharp market correction, unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, or material delays pushing the IPO past late 2027 remain the primary scenarios that could shift the odds away from the current high-valuation outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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