Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has positioned the Claude developer for a potential October listing and created a clear lead over OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft S-1 in early June but has since indicated a likely delay into 2027 amid internal timing debates and a preference for additional private milestones. These verified steps, combined with Anthropic’s higher recent private valuation and revenue trajectory, underpin the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration or slippage in Anthropic’s roadshow schedule and OpenAI’s final decision on 2026 versus 2027 timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic
85% szansa
$260,167 Wol.
$260,167 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
85% szansa
$260,167 Wol.
$260,167 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has positioned the Claude developer for a potential October listing and created a clear lead over OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft S-1 in early June but has since indicated a likely delay into 2027 amid internal timing debates and a preference for additional private milestones. These verified steps, combined with Anthropic’s higher recent private valuation and revenue trajectory, underpin the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration or slippage in Anthropic’s roadshow schedule and OpenAI’s final decision on 2026 versus 2027 timing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$260,167Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has positioned the Claude developer for a potential October listing and created a clear lead over OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft S-1 in early June but has since indicated a likely delay into 2027 amid internal timing debates and a preference for additional private milestones. These verified steps, combined with Anthropic’s higher recent private valuation and revenue trajectory, underpin the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration or slippage in Anthropic’s roadshow schedule and OpenAI’s final decision on 2026 versus 2027 timing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$260,167Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of scheduled investor meetings with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has positioned the Claude developer for a potential October listing and created a clear lead over OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft S-1 in early June but has since indicated a likely delay into 2027 amid internal timing debates and a preference for additional private milestones. These verified steps, combined with Anthropic’s higher recent private valuation and revenue trajectory, underpin the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic to reach public markets first. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration or slippage in Anthropic’s roadshow schedule and OpenAI’s final decision on 2026 versus 2027 timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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