OpenAI's recent $122 billion private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, followed by a $7 billion employee tender offer in August, has anchored trader views around a modest IPO raise below $30 billion at 36.8% implied probability, as the capital infusion eases near-term dilution needs ahead of a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing. The closely contested $80–90 billion band at 28.7% reflects uncertainty over IPO size amid $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate offset by estimated $14 billion annual losses, sector-wide AI competition, and broader equity market conditions that could support a larger primary offering. Key swing factors include final S-1 disclosures, prevailing Treasury yields and tech multiples at filing, and any regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that alter risk appetite for megacap debuts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 33.9%
$80B–$90B 32.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
34%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
20%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
33%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
18%
<$30B 33.9%
$80B–$90B 32.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
$476 Wol.
34%
$30B–$40B
$463 Wol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Wol.
20%
$50B–$60B
$825 Wol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Wol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Wol.
6%
$80B–$90B
$448 Wol.
33%
$90B–$100B
$306 Wol.
4%
$100B+
$637 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent $122 billion private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, followed by a $7 billion employee tender offer in August, has anchored trader views around a modest IPO raise below $30 billion at 36.8% implied probability, as the capital infusion eases near-term dilution needs ahead of a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing. The closely contested $80–90 billion band at 28.7% reflects uncertainty over IPO size amid $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate offset by estimated $14 billion annual losses, sector-wide AI competition, and broader equity market conditions that could support a larger primary offering. Key swing factors include final S-1 disclosures, prevailing Treasury yields and tech multiples at filing, and any regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that alter risk appetite for megacap debuts.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,761Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent $122 billion private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, followed by a $7 billion employee tender offer in August, has anchored trader views around a modest IPO raise below $30 billion at 36.8% implied probability, as the capital infusion eases near-term dilution needs ahead of a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing. The closely contested $80–90 billion band at 28.7% reflects uncertainty over IPO size amid $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate offset by estimated $14 billion annual losses, sector-wide AI competition, and broader equity market conditions that could support a larger primary offering. Key swing factors include final S-1 disclosures, prevailing Treasury yields and tech multiples at filing, and any regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that alter risk appetite for megacap debuts.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,761Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's recent $122 billion private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, followed by a $7 billion employee tender offer in August, has anchored trader views around a modest IPO raise below $30 billion at 36.8% implied probability, as the capital infusion eases near-term dilution needs ahead of a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing. The closely contested $80–90 billion band at 28.7% reflects uncertainty over IPO size amid $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate offset by estimated $14 billion annual losses, sector-wide AI competition, and broader equity market conditions that could support a larger primary offering. Key swing factors include final S-1 disclosures, prevailing Treasury yields and tech multiples at filing, and any regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that alter risk appetite for megacap debuts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania