Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public prospectus or listing nearly nine months later, positioning the 40.6% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 as the leading outcome amid SEC review delays and selective IPO windows. Secondary-market data from Forge Global and Hiive show valuations compressed to roughly $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, aligning trader consensus with the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at combined 38.1% probability if an offering proceeds. Estimates place 2025 revenue near $560–950 million and monthly active users above 200 million, supporting modest multiples for a consumer platform but highlighting monetization risks that could extend the timeline or deter pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027 40.5%
11–14B 23.6%
8–11B 15%
14–17B 6.7%
$53,627 Wol.
$53,627 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
5%
5–8B
4%
8–11B
15%
11–14B
24%
14–17B
7%
17–20B
5%
20B+
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 40.5%
11–14B 23.6%
8–11B 15%
14–17B 6.7%
$53,627 Wol.
$53,627 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$14,628 Wol.
5%
5–8B
$4,270 Wol.
4%
8–11B
$12,643 Wol.
15%
11–14B
$5,510 Wol.
24%
14–17B
$2,091 Wol.
7%
17–20B
$4,486 Wol.
5%
20B+
$4,404 Wol.
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$5,593 Wol.
41%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public prospectus or listing nearly nine months later, positioning the 40.6% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 as the leading outcome amid SEC review delays and selective IPO windows. Secondary-market data from Forge Global and Hiive show valuations compressed to roughly $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, aligning trader consensus with the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at combined 38.1% probability if an offering proceeds. Estimates place 2025 revenue near $560–950 million and monthly active users above 200 million, supporting modest multiples for a consumer platform but highlighting monetization risks that could extend the timeline or deter pricing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$53,627Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public prospectus or listing nearly nine months later, positioning the 40.6% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 as the leading outcome amid SEC review delays and selective IPO windows. Secondary-market data from Forge Global and Hiive show valuations compressed to roughly $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, aligning trader consensus with the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at combined 38.1% probability if an offering proceeds. Estimates place 2025 revenue near $560–950 million and monthly active users above 200 million, supporting modest multiples for a consumer platform but highlighting monetization risks that could extend the timeline or deter pricing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$53,627Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public prospectus or listing nearly nine months later, positioning the 40.6% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027 as the leading outcome amid SEC review delays and selective IPO windows. Secondary-market data from Forge Global and Hiive show valuations compressed to roughly $8.5–10 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, aligning trader consensus with the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at combined 38.1% probability if an offering proceeds. Estimates place 2025 revenue near $560–950 million and monthly active users above 200 million, supporting modest multiples for a consumer platform but highlighting monetization risks that could extend the timeline or deter pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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