Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public prospectus, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid a compressed secondary-market valuation near $8.5 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak. This valuation reset, driven by softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure names, underpins trader consensus around an 8–14 billion closing market cap if a listing occurs, while the 40.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects ongoing SEC review delays and equity-market selectivity. Recent Forge Global marks around $36–37 per share and roughly $600–800 million in annualized revenue provide the fundamental backdrop, with any acceleration hinging on improved sentiment for non-AI listings or clearer monetization progress.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027 41.1%
11–14B 23.6%
8–11B 15%
14–17B 9.7%
$53,627 Wol.
$53,627 Wol.
<5B
5%
5–8B
4%
8–11B
15%
11–14B
24%
14–17B
10%
17–20B
5%
20B+
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 41.1%
11–14B 23.6%
8–11B 15%
14–17B 9.7%
$53,627 Wol.
$53,627 Wol.
<5B
5%
5–8B
4%
8–11B
15%
11–14B
24%
14–17B
10%
17–20B
5%
20B+
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
41%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has not progressed to a public prospectus, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid a compressed secondary-market valuation near $8.5 billion—well below the 2021 $15 billion peak. This valuation reset, driven by softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure names, underpins trader consensus around an 8–14 billion closing market cap if a listing occurs, while the 40.5% probability on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects ongoing SEC review delays and equity-market selectivity. Recent Forge Global marks around $36–37 per share and roughly $600–800 million in annualized revenue provide the fundamental backdrop, with any acceleration hinging on improved sentiment for non-AI listings or clearer monetization progress.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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