Anthropic established Mythos-class as its new top tier above Opus with the April 2026 launch of Claude Mythos Preview and the June 9 releases of the safeguarded Fable 5 for general use alongside Mythos 5 for trusted partners. These models demonstrated frontier-level gains in autonomous vulnerability discovery and exploitation, prompting regulatory scrutiny and U.S. government oversight of broader deployment. Traders are now focused on whether Anthropic ships the next iteration first or if OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or xAI can match the capability threshold with their own releases, given typical 3–6 month development cycles between major frontier updates and ongoing competitive pressure in large language model reasoning and agentic tasks. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements at developer conferences or through regulatory filings that could shift implied probabilities on the resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$85,781 Wol.
July 31
<1%
August 31
39%
September 30
71%
$85,781 Wol.
July 31
<1%
August 31
39%
September 30
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic established Mythos-class as its new top tier above Opus with the April 2026 launch of Claude Mythos Preview and the June 9 releases of the safeguarded Fable 5 for general use alongside Mythos 5 for trusted partners. These models demonstrated frontier-level gains in autonomous vulnerability discovery and exploitation, prompting regulatory scrutiny and U.S. government oversight of broader deployment. Traders are now focused on whether Anthropic ships the next iteration first or if OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or xAI can match the capability threshold with their own releases, given typical 3–6 month development cycles between major frontier updates and ongoing competitive pressure in large language model reasoning and agentic tasks. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements at developer conferences or through regulatory filings that could shift implied probabilities on the resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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