Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this market at 58.5% implied probability because its Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, currently tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign with an 84.74 score, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (82.8) on reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks while offering a 1M-token context window. The crowded 45–55% tier reflects intense competition from recent September releases including Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash, and various Chinese models, yet none have displaced Anthropic’s edge in verified evaluations. With roughly ten weeks until resolution, further model updates, benchmark refreshes, or capability demonstrations from OpenAI, Google, or Meta could shift consensus before end-of-November assessment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Anthropic 59%
Alibaba 32%
Z.ai 26%
Google 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
59%
Alibaba
32%
Z.ai
26%
25%
MiniMax
25%
OpenAI
21%
Meituan
20%
DeepSeek
19%
Mistral
19%
Tencent
19%
Meta
13%
Xiaomi
12%
Moonshot
12%
Nvidia
12%
Baidu
11%
SpaceXAI
10%
Amazon
10%
Microsoft
10%
StepFun
9%
ByteDance
9%
Thinky
3%
Anthropic 59%
Alibaba 32%
Z.ai 26%
Google 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$76 Wol.
59%
Alibaba
$60 Wol.
32%
Z.ai
$50 Wol.
26%
$80 Wol.
25%
MiniMax
$50 Wol.
25%
OpenAI
$50 Wol.
21%
Meituan
$50 Wol.
20%
DeepSeek
$50 Wol.
19%
Mistral
$58 Wol.
19%
Tencent
$50 Wol.
19%
Meta
$60 Wol.
13%
Xiaomi
$60 Wol.
12%
Moonshot
$60 Wol.
12%
Nvidia
$60 Wol.
12%
Baidu
$58 Wol.
11%
SpaceXAI
$58 Wol.
10%
Amazon
$58 Wol.
10%
Microsoft
$58 Wol.
10%
StepFun
$60 Wol.
9%
ByteDance
$71 Wol.
9%
Thinky
$58 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this market at 58.5% implied probability because its Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, currently tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign with an 84.74 score, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (82.8) on reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks while offering a 1M-token context window. The crowded 45–55% tier reflects intense competition from recent September releases including Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash, and various Chinese models, yet none have displaced Anthropic’s edge in verified evaluations. With roughly ten weeks until resolution, further model updates, benchmark refreshes, or capability demonstrations from OpenAI, Google, or Meta could shift consensus before end-of-November assessment.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,231Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this market at 58.5% implied probability because its Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, currently tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign with an 84.74 score, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (82.8) on reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks while offering a 1M-token context window. The crowded 45–55% tier reflects intense competition from recent September releases including Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash, and various Chinese models, yet none have displaced Anthropic’s edge in verified evaluations. With roughly ten weeks until resolution, further model updates, benchmark refreshes, or capability demonstrations from OpenAI, Google, or Meta could shift consensus before end-of-November assessment.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$1,231Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this market at 58.5% implied probability because its Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, currently tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign with an 84.74 score, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (82.8) on reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks while offering a 1M-token context window. The crowded 45–55% tier reflects intense competition from recent September releases including Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3, Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash, and various Chinese models, yet none have displaced Anthropic’s edge in verified evaluations. With roughly ten weeks until resolution, further model updates, benchmark refreshes, or capability demonstrations from OpenAI, Google, or Meta could shift consensus before end-of-November assessment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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