Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by moderate northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s and dew points holding near 23–24°C, which limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers and 70–90% humidity overnight further moderate overnight lows, consistent with September climatology where typical minima reach 24°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though local urban heat island effects at the observatory versus outlying stations introduce minor uncertainty. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–27°C reflects this narrow forecast range ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
27°C 36%
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
36%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$4 Wol.
1%
22°C
$4 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$342 Wol.
2%
24°C
$47 Wol.
8%
25°C
$160 Wol.
24%
26°C
$373 Wol.
31%
27°C
$524 Wol.
36%
28°C
$63 Wol.
9%
29°C
$4 Wol.
2%
30°C
$506 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$40 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by moderate northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s and dew points holding near 23–24°C, which limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers and 70–90% humidity overnight further moderate overnight lows, consistent with September climatology where typical minima reach 24°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though local urban heat island effects at the observatory versus outlying stations introduce minor uncertainty. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–27°C reflects this narrow forecast range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,068Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by moderate northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s and dew points holding near 23–24°C, which limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers and 70–90% humidity overnight further moderate overnight lows, consistent with September climatology where typical minima reach 24°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though local urban heat island effects at the observatory versus outlying stations introduce minor uncertainty. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–27°C reflects this narrow forecast range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,068Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Hong Kong on September 14, driven by moderate northeasterly winds of 5–8 m/s and dew points holding near 23–24°C, which limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers and 70–90% humidity overnight further moderate overnight lows, consistent with September climatology where typical minima reach 24°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though local urban heat island effects at the observatory versus outlying stations introduce minor uncertainty. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–27°C reflects this narrow forecast range ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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