Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 13 maximum temperature centers on forecasts of 30–31°C, driven by persistent easterly winds near 20–30 km/h, high humidity above 70%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Official Hong Kong Observatory readings through midday hovered near 30°C at the primary station, with isolated sites briefly higher, while models show modest disagreement on afternoon cloud cover and rainfall timing—key variables that can suppress or permit an extra degree of warming. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September mean daily maximum of about 30.9°C. The tight 50.5%–42% split between 30°C and 31°C reflects genuine uncertainty in convective development and urban heat effects, with final HKO verification expected to resolve the market by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
30°C 47%
31°C 41%
32°C 9.3%
33°C <1%
$54,185 Wol.
$54,185 Wol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
47%
31°C
41%
32°C
9%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
31°C 41%
32°C 9.3%
33°C <1%
$54,185 Wol.
$54,185 Wol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
47%
31°C
41%
32°C
9%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 13 maximum temperature centers on forecasts of 30–31°C, driven by persistent easterly winds near 20–30 km/h, high humidity above 70%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Official Hong Kong Observatory readings through midday hovered near 30°C at the primary station, with isolated sites briefly higher, while models show modest disagreement on afternoon cloud cover and rainfall timing—key variables that can suppress or permit an extra degree of warming. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September mean daily maximum of about 30.9°C. The tight 50.5%–42% split between 30°C and 31°C reflects genuine uncertainty in convective development and urban heat effects, with final HKO verification expected to resolve the market by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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