Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in London near 22–23 °C on September 13, driven by mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C and 22 °C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming before showers increase, keeping the peak below 24 °C in most runs while making 21 °C or lower less likely. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of a single-day maximum resolved by official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 13?
Highest temperature in London on September 13?
23°C 44%
22°C 29%
24°C 16%
21°C 8.3%
NOWE
$29,666 Wol.
NOWE
$29,666 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
29%
23°C
44%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
22°C 29%
24°C 16%
21°C 8.3%
NOWE
$29,666 Wol.
NOWE
$29,666 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
$133 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$531 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$563 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$491 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,382 Wol.
2%
21°C
$2,563 Wol.
8%
22°C
$5,559 Wol.
29%
23°C
$7,726 Wol.
44%
24°C
$7,381 Wol.
16%
25°C
$2,358 Wol.
5%
26°C or higher
$978 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in London near 22–23 °C on September 13, driven by mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C and 22 °C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming before showers increase, keeping the peak below 24 °C in most runs while making 21 °C or lower less likely. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of a single-day maximum resolved by official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,666Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in London near 22–23 °C on September 13, driven by mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C and 22 °C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming before showers increase, keeping the peak below 24 °C in most runs while making 21 °C or lower less likely. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of a single-day maximum resolved by official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,666Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature in London near 22–23 °C on September 13, driven by mild southwesterly flow ahead of an Atlantic front, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain that limit solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C and 22 °C outcomes. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming before showers increase, keeping the peak below 24 °C in most runs while making 21 °C or lower less likely. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty range typical of a single-day maximum resolved by official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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