Recent Met Office guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 24–25 °C for London on September 14, driven by southwest winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a relatively stable air mass. This consensus positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 25 °C as a close secondary possibility if afternoon breaks allow slightly stronger insolation. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20 °C, so current warmth reflects a transient ridge influence before cooler, showery air arrives later in the week. Model runs through the evening of September 13 continue to cluster in this narrow range, though small timing shifts in cloud or wind could nudge the observed high by 1 °C either way before official verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 14?
Highest temperature in London on September 14?
24°C 49%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
26°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
21%
24°C
49%
25°C
23%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 49%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
26°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
17°C or below
$143 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$143 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$372 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$65 Wol.
1%
21°C
$94 Wol.
1%
22°C
$494 Wol.
3%
23°C
$1,117 Wol.
21%
24°C
$1,827 Wol.
49%
25°C
$829 Wol.
23%
26°C
$971 Wol.
5%
27°C or higher
$174 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 24–25 °C for London on September 14, driven by southwest winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a relatively stable air mass. This consensus positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 25 °C as a close secondary possibility if afternoon breaks allow slightly stronger insolation. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20 °C, so current warmth reflects a transient ridge influence before cooler, showery air arrives later in the week. Model runs through the evening of September 13 continue to cluster in this narrow range, though small timing shifts in cloud or wind could nudge the observed high by 1 °C either way before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,229Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 24–25 °C for London on September 14, driven by southwest winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a relatively stable air mass. This consensus positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 25 °C as a close secondary possibility if afternoon breaks allow slightly stronger insolation. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20 °C, so current warmth reflects a transient ridge influence before cooler, showery air arrives later in the week. Model runs through the evening of September 13 continue to cluster in this narrow range, though small timing shifts in cloud or wind could nudge the observed high by 1 °C either way before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,229Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 24–25 °C for London on September 14, driven by southwest winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a relatively stable air mass. This consensus positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 25 °C as a close secondary possibility if afternoon breaks allow slightly stronger insolation. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20 °C, so current warmth reflects a transient ridge influence before cooler, showery air arrives later in the week. Model runs through the evening of September 13 continue to cluster in this narrow range, though small timing shifts in cloud or wind could nudge the observed high by 1 °C either way before official verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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