Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly clear, high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 14, favoring modest daytime heating with highs likely peaking near 15–16°C. Light northerly or variable winds limit cold-air advection while allowing solar insolation to raise surface temperatures from overnight lows near 6–8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind shifts that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear to weigh the balance between radiative warming potential and minor model spread in steering patterns, typical for springtime conditions where historical September maxima average around 18°C but recent cool anomalies have prevailed. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
16°C 38%
15°C 30%
17°C 14%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
30%
16°C
38%
17°C
14%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
16°C 38%
15°C 30%
17°C 14%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
$226 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$154 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Wol.
2%
13°C
$14 Wol.
3%
14°C
$90 Wol.
11%
15°C
$89 Wol.
30%
16°C
$99 Wol.
38%
17°C
$359 Wol.
14%
18°C
$70 Wol.
5%
19°C
$61 Wol.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly clear, high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 14, favoring modest daytime heating with highs likely peaking near 15–16°C. Light northerly or variable winds limit cold-air advection while allowing solar insolation to raise surface temperatures from overnight lows near 6–8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind shifts that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear to weigh the balance between radiative warming potential and minor model spread in steering patterns, typical for springtime conditions where historical September maxima average around 18°C but recent cool anomalies have prevailed. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,162Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly clear, high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 14, favoring modest daytime heating with highs likely peaking near 15–16°C. Light northerly or variable winds limit cold-air advection while allowing solar insolation to raise surface temperatures from overnight lows near 6–8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind shifts that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear to weigh the balance between radiative warming potential and minor model spread in steering patterns, typical for springtime conditions where historical September maxima average around 18°C but recent cool anomalies have prevailed. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,162Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly clear, high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 14, favoring modest daytime heating with highs likely peaking near 15–16°C. Light northerly or variable winds limit cold-air advection while allowing solar insolation to raise surface temperatures from overnight lows near 6–8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind shifts that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear to weigh the balance between radiative warming potential and minor model spread in steering patterns, typical for springtime conditions where historical September maxima average around 18°C but recent cool anomalies have prevailed. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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