Traders have converged on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Regional high pressure and moderate easterly flow suppressed significant cooling, keeping nighttime readings near the seasonal baseline of 26–27°C rather than allowing drops toward lower thresholds. Model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal room for variance once data finalize in the daily extract. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-event revisions to the official absolute minimum or measurement adjustments at the primary station, though such changes remain uncommon given the observatory’s verification process.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$108,064 Wol.
$108,064 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$108,064 Wol.
$108,064 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
$528 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$2,001 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$4,259 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$6,047 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,326 Wol.
1%
27°C
$6,391 Wol.
99%
28°C
$86,143 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$157 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$76 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$54 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Regional high pressure and moderate easterly flow suppressed significant cooling, keeping nighttime readings near the seasonal baseline of 26–27°C rather than allowing drops toward lower thresholds. Model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal room for variance once data finalize in the daily extract. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-event revisions to the official absolute minimum or measurement adjustments at the primary station, though such changes remain uncommon given the observatory’s verification process.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$108,064Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Regional high pressure and moderate easterly flow suppressed significant cooling, keeping nighttime readings near the seasonal baseline of 26–27°C rather than allowing drops toward lower thresholds. Model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal room for variance once data finalize in the daily extract. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-event revisions to the official absolute minimum or measurement adjustments at the primary station, though such changes remain uncommon given the observatory’s verification process.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$108,064Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 12, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Regional high pressure and moderate easterly flow suppressed significant cooling, keeping nighttime readings near the seasonal baseline of 26–27°C rather than allowing drops toward lower thresholds. Model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal room for variance once data finalize in the daily extract. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-event revisions to the official absolute minimum or measurement adjustments at the primary station, though such changes remain uncommon given the observatory’s verification process.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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