**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 13 lowest temperature centers on 27°C as the leading outcome at 67% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 17.5%.** This positioning stems from the region’s typical late-summer tropical conditions, where high humidity, cloud cover, and frequent showers limit overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project nighttime lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid easterly winds, scattered thunderstorms, and dew points near 24–26°C. These factors suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of roughly 25–27°C for September. Recent model runs show broad consensus on this range, with minimal disagreement and no incoming cold surge or clear-sky event that would drive sharper cooling. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of persistent moisture and cloudiness—common during the rainy season—against the slim chance of brief clear periods allowing a dip to 25°C or lower. As the day progresses toward resolution, any updated observational data on overnight cloud trends or wind shifts could refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 67%
26°C 21%
24°C 15%
25°C 12%
$15,930 Wol.
$15,930 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
15%
25°C
12%
26°C
14%
27°C
67%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 67%
26°C 21%
24°C 15%
25°C 12%
$15,930 Wol.
$15,930 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$739 Wol.
1%
23°C
$1,968 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$2,229 Wol.
15%
25°C
$2,732 Wol.
12%
26°C
$1,972 Wol.
14%
27°C
$5,466 Wol.
67%
28°C
$446 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$152 Wol.
1%
30°C
$77 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$77 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$77 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 13 lowest temperature centers on 27°C as the leading outcome at 67% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 17.5%.**
This positioning stems from the region’s typical late-summer tropical conditions, where high humidity, cloud cover, and frequent showers limit overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project nighttime lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid easterly winds, scattered thunderstorms, and dew points near 24–26°C. These factors suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of roughly 25–27°C for September.
Recent model runs show broad consensus on this range, with minimal disagreement and no incoming cold surge or clear-sky event that would drive sharper cooling. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of persistent moisture and cloudiness—common during the rainy season—against the slim chance of brief clear periods allowing a dip to 25°C or lower. As the day progresses toward resolution, any updated observational data on overnight cloud trends or wind shifts could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,930Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 13 lowest temperature centers on 27°C as the leading outcome at 67% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 17.5%.**
This positioning stems from the region’s typical late-summer tropical conditions, where high humidity, cloud cover, and frequent showers limit overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project nighttime lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid easterly winds, scattered thunderstorms, and dew points near 24–26°C. These factors suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of roughly 25–27°C for September.
Recent model runs show broad consensus on this range, with minimal disagreement and no incoming cold surge or clear-sky event that would drive sharper cooling. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of persistent moisture and cloudiness—common during the rainy season—against the slim chance of brief clear periods allowing a dip to 25°C or lower. As the day progresses toward resolution, any updated observational data on overnight cloud trends or wind shifts could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,930Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s September 13 lowest temperature centers on 27°C as the leading outcome at 67% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 17.5%.** This positioning stems from the region’s typical late-summer tropical conditions, where high humidity, cloud cover, and frequent showers limit overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Hong Kong Observatory and global models consistently project nighttime lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid easterly winds, scattered thunderstorms, and dew points near 24–26°C. These factors suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines of roughly 25–27°C for September. Recent model runs show broad consensus on this range, with minimal disagreement and no incoming cold surge or clear-sky event that would drive sharper cooling. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of persistent moisture and cloudiness—common during the rainy season—against the slim chance of brief clear periods allowing a dip to 25°C or lower. As the day progresses toward resolution, any updated observational data on overnight cloud trends or wind shifts could refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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